Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.000121 0.000134 0.000148 0.000163 0.000181 0.000200 0.000222
2025-07-13 0.000098 0.000116 0.000138 0.000165 0.000197 0.000236 0.000285
2025-07-20 0.000084 0.000106 0.000132 0.000167 0.000213 0.000270 0.000349
2025-07-27 0.000073 0.000096 0.000125 0.000166 0.000222 0.000296 0.000404
2025-08-03 0.000067 0.000090 0.000122 0.000168 0.000235 0.000328 0.000470
2025-08-10 0.000060 0.000084 0.000116 0.000166 0.000240 0.000349 0.000523
2025-08-17 0.000054 0.000078 0.000112 0.000165 0.000246 0.000370 0.000578
2025-08-24 0.000049 0.000072 0.000107 0.000161 0.000249 0.000387 0.000627
2025-08-31 0.000044 0.000067 0.000101 0.000156 0.000248 0.000397 0.000666
2025-09-07 0.000042 0.000064 0.000098 0.000157 0.000255 0.000421 0.000732
2025-09-14 0.000039 0.000062 0.000097 0.000159 0.000266 0.000452 0.000813
2025-09-21 0.000036 0.000058 0.000093 0.000156 0.000268 0.000467 0.000866
2025-09-28 0.000033 0.000054 0.000088 0.000149 0.000263 0.000471 0.000901
2025-10-05 0.000031 0.000051 0.000086 0.000150 0.000271 0.000501 0.000993
2025-10-12 0.000029 0.000050 0.000085 0.000152 0.000283 0.000538 0.001106
2025-10-19 0.000028 0.000048 0.000083 0.000151 0.000288 0.000563 0.001197
2025-10-26 0.000026 0.000046 0.000082 0.000153 0.000300 0.000603 0.001328
2025-11-02 0.000025 0.000044 0.000079 0.000151 0.000303 0.000624 0.001417
2025-11-09 0.000023 0.000042 0.000077 0.000150 0.000306 0.000648 0.001518
2025-11-16 0.000022 0.000040 0.000074 0.000147 0.000307 0.000665 0.001603
2025-11-23 0.000020 0.000038 0.000071 0.000143 0.000303 0.000671 0.001662
2025-11-30 0.000019 0.000036 0.000070 0.000143 0.000310 0.000703 0.001795
2025-12-07 0.000019 0.000036 0.000069 0.000145 0.000321 0.000747 0.001968